NFL Picks Week 4: Niners vs Rams ATS Pick & Predictions
Colin Kaepernick and the 49ers are 3 point favorites on
the road against St. Louis with the total set at 42.
By: MaChez, TSZ Expert
Can you believe it’s already the fourth week of the NFL
season? Four more days and we’ll already be a quarter of the way through the
season. Now if I had told you the 49ers
would be 1-2 after three weeks, would you have ever believed it? What if I told you the Rams also would be
1-2? Yeah, I guess that’s a little more believable.
The two teams face off in St. Louis on Thursday night in what should be an exciting game with
season-long implications. If San
Francisco loses, they will be sitting at the bottom of the division with only
one less loss than they had all of last season.
If St. Louis loses, they will be sitting in the same place with trips to
Seattle and San Francisco still on their plate.
Last season both match-ups went to overtime with one ending in a tie so
we can expect a close one on Thursday.
San Francisco 49ers
In the last two weeks the 49ers have been outscored 56-10
and whispers that started after Week 1 about the offense being too complicated
for Kaepernick have grown louder and louder.
No one can fault them for losing in Seattle, but only putting up three
points is embarrassing . And then to
lose by 20 at home?! Something is
off. Vernon Davis’ likely return from
injury will help, but the fact that Anquan Boldin is their only other weapon is
troubling. Things on defense don’t look
great either after two straight weeks of several costly penalties.
St. Louis Rams
After starting the season with an exciting win against
Arizona, the Rams have lost two straight on the road to the Falcons and
Cowboys. In both games they gave up 31
points but only in the Falcons game did they mount any kind of comeback. Last week against Dallas they scored only
seven and gave up six sacks after not allowing a single one since last
season. The Rams offensive line has been
one of their strong points and will need to revert to their old ways to give
Sam Bradford a chance against San Francisco.
The Spread
Despite San Francisco’s recent struggles, Vegas has made
them three point favorites with the total set at 42. Although bets are split 50/50 on the total,
handicappers seem to agree with San Francisco as big favorites with 77% of them
giving up the points. But here at the
SpreadZone, we are the 23%!
The Rams will be facing a defense in San Francisco that has
given up an average of 28 points this season and will now be without LB Aldon
Smith, NT Ian Williams, and the heart of the defense, Patrick Willis. Bradford has always played well against the
49ers, and like in his game against ARI, should have no problem putting up
points at home.
On the other side of the ball, similar to what we’re seeing
in Washington, defenses have picked up on the 49ers read-option and are
limiting the effectiveness of both Kaepernick and running back Frank Gore. St. Louis should continue this trend and will
force Kaepernick to throw against one of the better CB tandems in Cortland Finnegan
and Janoris Jenkins.
Last season, St. Louis handed Kaepernick the starting job by
knocking out Alex Smith and then handed him his first loss three weeks later in
St. Louis. In that game, Kaep was only
able to manage 13 points, threw a ball away in the end zone for a safety and
overthrew a pitch that was recovered for a St. Louis touchdown. Expect Janoris Jenkins and the loud dome to
pose problems for Kapernick again and the Rams to cover the spread with a likely straight up win. However, this won’t be the defensive
battle we saw the last time these two teams faced off - take the OVER.
Prediction: ST. LOUIS RAMS (+3) over San Francisco 49ers, OVER 42
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Prediction: ST. LOUIS RAMS (+3) over San Francisco 49ers, OVER 42
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