The months since have brought changes to both rosters. The Ravens lost defensive legends Ray Lewis and Ed Reed, but Joe Flacco, Ray Rice, and Torrey Smith are all back to lead what turned out to be an explosive offense at the end of last year. In Denver, meanwhile, the defense will look to replace Von Miller (out on suspension) while the offense will have to learn to deal with former Bronco Elvis Dumerville (now a Raven).
The line opened with Denver as 9 point favorites and has fluctuated up and down, eventually moving towards the Ravens and settling with them as 8 point underdogs.
Here are a plethora of trends to consider when betting on Thursday Night's game:
Baltimore Ravens Trends:
When playing in September are 7-3
When playing on grass are 6-4
After being outgained are 7-3
When playing outside the division are 7-3
When playing in September are 7-3
When playing on grass are 6-4
After being outgained are 7-3
When playing outside the division are 7-3
Denver Broncos Trends:
When playing in September are 4-6
When playing on grass are 9-1
After being outgained are 8-2
When playing outside the division are 6-4
When playing in September are 4-6
When playing on grass are 9-1
After being outgained are 8-2
When playing outside the division are 6-4
A few Ravens at Broncos trends to consider:
Baltimore is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Baltimore is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Baltimore is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore's last 6 games
Denver is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games
Denver is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games at home
Denver is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Baltimore
Baltimore is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Baltimore is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Baltimore is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore's last 6 games
Denver is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games
Denver is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games at home
Denver is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Baltimore
Ridiculous, right? What the hell are you supposed to do with all of that? Toss it out. It's only as meaningful as the number of players remaining on the current rosters who played in all of those games. As we know, the emergence of free agency has made these stats almost as useless as CBSSports writers expert opinions on ATS picks.
So, what should you do? Here are some choices:
1. Flip a coin, roll a die, or just guess and come back tomorrow for our other 13 FREE PICKS.
2. Become a TSZ Insider for $1/week and get all of our Thursday Night and Monday Night Football picks, plus our Friday Five confidence rankings. That's seventeen bucks. If you're like me, you lost that much on baseball today. May as well put it to better use.
3. Try TSZ Insider for a week for $5. If you like it, come back and and renew with option 1, or just pay as you go for $5/week. Check the competition - for our 62% success rate in our Friday Five confidence picks, I think you'll be hard-pressed to get more bang for your buck.
At The Spread Zone we believe in giving you choices on how you're going to make money this football season. Why wait until tomorrow when you can sign up today.
Vinny and Marco
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