Friday, September 27, 2013

College Football Picks Week 5: LSU vs Georgia, Alabama, Texas A & M, and More

MaChez Says...

Get ready for an amazing weekend of football.  Saturday we have #3 LSU @ #9 Georgia, #21 Ole Miss @ #1 Alabama, #14 OKLA @ #22 ND, and #23 WIS @ #4 OSU.  In the NFL we’ve got great games in every time slot, even with the Packers on bye:  SEA @ HOU and CHI @ DET in the morning, PHI @ DEN in the afternoon, NE @ ATL Sunday night, and MIA @ NO on Monday.  So much for winterizing my Florida apartment this weekend…

Below is what I’m recommending you bet on this weekend, and in case you haven’t been keeping track, I’ve gone a cool 9-1 since Week 1:

1. Chicago (+3) at Detroit Lions [-120 @ 5dimes]

Chicago is the better team overall.  Cutler and the rest of the offense are getting better each week under Trestman.  Detroit’s offense will miss WR Nate Burleson after he broke his arm trying to save a box of pizza.  Matt Stafford to Burleson was an 82.6% completion rating this season - #1 in the NFL.

2. Texas A&M (-15) at Arkansas [-110 @ 5dimes]

Floyd “Money” Mayweather is betting $300,000 on Texas A&M and he‘s undefeated.  Sure that’s the equivalent of someone handing you $100 and you betting 30 cents on A&M, but his reasoning is sound:  Johnny Manziel doesn’t have off days.  Plus, Arkansas, although, 3-1, lost against their first real opponent last week against Rutgers.

This could be you!

3. Seattle Seahawks at Houston Texans - Under 42  [-110 @ 5dimes]

The #1 defense travels to face the #2 defense.  Houston has had offensive struggles and could be with Matt Schaub and without Andre Johnson.  Seattle is playing in the dangerous 10am PST spot where they’ve averaged 18.5 points since the start of 2012.

4. LSU at Georgia - Over 62 [-110 @ 5dimes]

LSU has averaged 43.3 points per game.  Georgia has averaged 40.3 points per game.  That’s 83.6 points on average between the two teams.

5. Ole Miss (+14.5) at Alabama [-110 @ 5dimes]

Alabama’s defense is questionable and its offense didn’t look great either last week against Colorado State.  They will have a tougher time against an Ole Miss team that only allows 114.3 yards/game on the ground, has more offensive yards per game, and averages only 0.3 points less per game.  Alabama should win this game, but if Ole Miss limits their mistakes, not by 15.

“MaChez Says” Season Record to Date:  9-6 (60%)

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