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Monday, November 11, 2013

NFL Picks Week 11: Point Spreads for all the Games

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The Week 11 NFL card is loaded with key divisional games and a few gems between teams with championship aspirations – Chiefs at Broncos, 49ers at Saints and Patriots at Panthers.
Here’s a look at the opening point spreads. Lines are from the LVH SuperBook
Colts (-2.5/-120) at Titans
Both of Thursday night’s participants were victims of startling upsets at home on Sunday. Indianapolis was crushed by the Rams, 38-3, while Tennessee became the first team to lose to the Jaguars. William Hill opened Indy -3 (even), with a total of 42.5. The Titans have an opportunity to close the Colts’ AFC South lead to one game with a win in this game.
Falcons at Bucs (pick ‘em)
Atlanta fell to 2-7 SU and ATS with Sunday’s 33-10 home loss to the Seahawks. Tampa is looking for its first win of the season, at home Monday against the Dolphins. This will be the second meeting of the season between these NFC South foes, the Falcons winning, 31-23, and getting the cash as a 6-point favorite in Week 7. The Bucs opened as a 1-point fave for next week’s clash at William Hill.
Jets at Bills (-1)
Buffalo was a loser in Pittsburgh Sunday. The Jets, who were off this week, won the Week 3 meeting with the Bills, 27-20, as 2.5-point home chalk.
Lions (-3 even) at Steelers
Detroit sits at 6-3 and alone atop the NFC North after Sunday’s win in Chicago. The Steelers got their third win of the season and need to start stringing victories together to have any chance at a playoff run. The Lions are 3-1 ATS on the season when laying points on the road. The role of home dog is a rare one for the Steelers, who are 3-1-1 when getting points at home since 2007, Mike Tomlin’s first year as head coach. William Hill opened Detroit -2.5.
Redskins at Eagles (-3.5)
Philly beat a quarterbacked-challenged Packers team at Lambeau Field, while the Redskins lost Thursday night in Minnesota. The Eagles won in Washington in Week 1, but are a bankroll-busting 0-11-1 ATS at home over the last two seasons. The Wynn opened this game -3.5 (even).
Chargers (-1) at Dolphins
San Diego lost at home to the Broncos, 28-20, and failed to get the cash as a 7-point dog. Miami is a 2-point favorite in Tampa on Monday night.
Ravens at Bears (-2.5)
Baltimore prevailed at home in overtime against the Bengals, while Chicago was a missed 2-point conversion away from sending its game vs. Detroit into OT. Jay Cutler left the game with an ankle sprain, and there’s been no word of his status for next week.
Browns at Bengals (-6)
Cincy’s road woes continued – they’re now 2-4 SU and 1-4-1 ATS away from home. But next Sunday, the Bengals are back home, where they’re a perfect 4-0 SU and ATS. They have a chance to avenge one of those road losses next week, as Cleveland took the season’s first meeting, 17-6. The Wynn opened this game 6.5.
Raiders at Texans (-7)
Both teams covered in road losses on Sunday, Oakland (+7) at the Giants, and Houston (+3.5) at Arizona. Houston opened -6.5 at William Hill.
Cardinals (-6.5) at Jaguars
While Jacksonville is no longer winless, Arizona has quietly risen to 5-4 SU.
Chiefs at Broncos (-8.5)
The AFC West clash we’ve all been waiting for has been flexed into NBC’s primetime slot. Peyton Manning hurt his right leg in Denver’s win at San Diego and said he’ll have it examined Monday, and the LVH took this game off the board. "I'm pretty sore,” Manning said, per the team’s Twitter feed. “They kind of got me twice in that lower area...get an MRI tomorrow and will know more then." Asked whether he's confident about playing next week, Manning responded, "I certainly plan on it." The Wynn opened Denver -8.
Vikings at Seahawks (-13)
Seattle is a stout 9-1 SU on the season after Sunday’s convincing win in Atlanta, but is just 1-3 ATS as double-digit favorite this season. The Wynn came a tick higher here, opening 13.5.
49ers at Saints (-2.5/-120)
San Francisco was dealt a home defeat by Carolina, which held the Niners to 151 yards of offense. New Orleans hosted Dallas Sunday night.
Packers at Giants (no line)
Green Bay finds itself in an even deeper quarterback quandary, as Seneca Wallace, who was starting in place of the injured Aaron Rodgers, went out early in Sunday’s game against the Eagles. Third-stringer Scott Tolzien stepped in, and the team announced he’ll start in New York next week.
Patriots at Panthers (-2.5)
A win at San Francisco convinced oddsmakers of Carolina’s legitimacy. When the SuperBook posted early Week 11 lines last week, the Panthers were -1 for next Monday’s home date against New England. The Pats are 16-8-2 as road underdog since 2003.

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