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Showing posts with label NFL Picks ATS. Show all posts
Showing posts with label NFL Picks ATS. Show all posts

Saturday, September 7, 2013

Sunday Brunch: How Gambling Changed My Life for the Better

On January 18th, 1980 I was given my first introduction to gambling. As many of you know I was raised by a southern Californian father to love all teams Los Angeles - the Dodgers, the Lakers, and even the artists formerly known as the Los Angeles Rams. In the winter of my third grade year, I watched the Los Angeles Rams eek into the playoffs with a 9-7 record, upset the heavily favored Dallas Cowboys 21-19 in the Wild Card round, and shut out the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 9-0 in the Conference Championship to reach their first ever Super Bowl.



Waiting for them in the Pasadena Rose Bowl were the mighty Pittsburgh Steelers who had won the Super Bowl three of the previous five years. They were the team of the decade and everyone knew it - except for me. I was eight - and the world didn't really extend much beyond my favorite players, their team, and some of the teams in their division. At the time, I just worried about the Saints, the Niners, and the Falcons - yes, it was that long ago. We'd beaten those teams to make it to the Super Bowl, so "Steelers Shmeelers," I said, believing deeply that anyone with Vince Feragamo's hair would never lose at anything important EVER. 


The "line" - as it was defined to me by fifth grade sports betting prodigy Jasper Thelin - had the Steelers favored by ten points. Jasper, being the benevolent little bookie that he was, told me he would throw in an extra point, giving me the Rams +11. I told him I didn't need points, took them anyway because I didn't want to look stupid, and shook his hand to seal the wager. That Sunday, Los Angeles lost to Pittsburgh 31-19, I lost $8, and the Rams lost another fan to the up-and-coming San Francisco Forty Niners. 

I gave up gambling after that - in part because I didn't like losing and in greater part because the Forty Niners were so good that nobody would take my action. Instead I focused my pre-pubescent energy on sports fanaticism. I saved my allowance for Topps football cards, football jerseys, football pennants, and just about anything Forty Niner-related. I even bought this cake from my "sort of" friend Dustin's parents the day before his tenth birthday.


Sunday mornings had me swimming in a sea of scarlet and gold. Dwight Clark jersey - check. Matching albeit too large sweat pants - check. Six boxes of Hi-C Ecto Cooler - check. Good luck pineapple-flavored Home Run Pie (almost gold and almost delicious) - check and check. Although the games usually started at 1:00, the kids in my neighborhood were generally out on the street by nine thirty role-playing what we were sure would be the next record-breaking performance by Joe Montana and the gang. Those were the days...


Since then, two major events have taken place deeply affecting my football viewing and appreciation: free agency and my re-introduction to gambling. Free agency in all sports makes being a fan a much more flexible experience. While I still root for the Forty Niners today, I'm also rooting for Alex Smith in Kansas City, Mike Nolan in Atlanta, and Mike Singletary in Minnesota. Gambling in sports, however, makes being a fan not only very flexible but also potentially lethal. On any given Sunday I will root for any given team depending on many different circumstances. If there's one thing I've learned it's that blind loyalty to your team or any team at all is a recipe for financial disaster. 

Today, instead of scarlet and gold, my living room is littered with 32 different coasters bearing all the NFL team logos. I only put my sugar-free diet sodas on the coasters of the teams I'm backing that day, and the last Home Run Pie I ate was after a Special Brownie party my senior year of college. And instead of role-playing my NFL heroes of the week in the morning, I teach my daughter math by having her slide the points I'm getting or giving that day on her grown-up sized abacus. 


Nonetheless, it's still Sunday, it's still football, and today is still the best day of the year. If you have time before kick-off - post your first experience in the comments section. Who knows - maybe your story will help other sports betting virgins feel safer.

Enjoy the roller coaster ride everyone,

Vinny and Marco




Thursday, September 5, 2013

Friday Five: TSZ Experts' Top Confidence Picks

"If there's anything worse than Ryan Seacrest introducing the new NFL season, I'd like to see it," Joe Flacco joked with his teammates during the thirty minute lightening delay before kick-off last night.



How about Peyton Manning throwing seven touchdowns against your new, leaderless defense, Joe? How about losing your first exclusive Insider ATS pick, Joe? How about logging on to ESPN and finding out the guy you're playing in fantasy football has Peyton Manning, too, and you're losing 71-0 on Friday a morning, Joe?

Okay, Joe, you're right - there really is nothing worse than Ryan Seacrest doing anything.

It's amazing how often in sports a game can change dramatically on a single play. Last night that play was a dropped ball by Denver Broncos wide out Wes Welker that was ruled a completion on the field and left unchallenged by Baltimore Ravens coach, John Harbaugh. Instead of receiving a punt on the next play with a 17-14 lead, the Ravens watched Peyton Manning efficiently drive Denver down the field for his third of six touchdown passes. After that the tide rolled like Alabama and the Broncos rode it home for a 49-27 victory.



So where does that leave us at this early junction of the 2013 season? Well, hopefully it leaves us win-less for very last time as our super-secret, TSZ Insider-exclusive Thursday Night Football pick by our Expert Team was sadly a unanimous 5-0 in favor of the Ravens. Fortunately, we also recommended the OVER which hit big, giving us an undefeated start to TSZ's O/U Era.

Season To Date: 0-1 ATS

O/U Season to Date: 1-0



Before anyone gets too discouraged, let me remind you that it is our Friday Five at The Spread Zone that has earned us the loving adoration of readers and the contempt of their bookies. It is our Friday Five that hit 65% of the time in 2012, finishing the season at 36-19 ATS. It is our Friday Five that is coming to your e-mail boxes today if you play your (credit) cards right. Just because our experts all agree on a pick, does not automatically make it a Friday Five confidence pick. Here's how it works.



1. After our team members make their ATS picks, we each rank half of our picks from most confident (8) to least confident (1). With five experts on the team, the most confidence points a team can receive is 40.

2. We combine our rankings across the board and the result is our Friday Five. Sometimes a split pick will receive tremendous confidence from its supporters and crack the list, while other times such as tonight we all chose the Ravens but they only received 5 confidence points.

To give you a frame of reference, the Seattle Seahawks visiting the Carolina Panthers as 3.5 point favorites just missed this week's cut, finishing sixth on the list with a total of 18 out of 40 possible confidence points. If you'd like to get our Friday Five for the week or for the rest of the season, just go to the TSZ Insider page at The Spread Zone and sign up. As an additional residual bonus, you'll receive our Don't Touch List of five games that received little to no confidence at all.



Plus, of course, you'll get our Monday Night Football picks, too. Why wait until tomorrow when you can be an Insider today. Economics 101 says that the value of the season pass diminishes with every day that passes. More picks for less money means you win.


Of course, you can always just enjoy all of our free picks, our Gambloogling Library, our continued education courses, our witty abeit often sleep-deprived commentary, and that invaluable feeling of being a part of a community. Although we live in modern times with accelerating advancements in science and technology, the old adage remains true: it takes a village to raise a gambler. So, stick around.

Thanks for supporting us and being a part of The Spread Zone. Please feel free to Contact Us any time with questions, comments, and suggestions.

Happy Betting,

Vinny and Marco


Tuesday, September 3, 2013

Parlay Vous Cash, Homey? The Professor of Parlay Has Returned...

The Continuation of Mysterios' Dominance

I didn't start posting my weekly two-game parlay picks until late last season, so it was a rather small sample size. In the end, however, I believe I went 9-1 on all my picks which transfers to 4-1 on the on the parlays. Not bad if I do say so myself! Well get ready folks because you can expect more of the same this year. Vincenzo and Spartacus have asked me to display my dominance again this year and I'm going to try to do just that. Enjoy it, and get ready for some easy cash! All you need to do is follow the great Mysterio into the Hall of Doom and collect the cash from the dark side.

SEATTLE -3 at Carolina

Thank you for the gift ol' handicappers of Las Vegas. This game is a complete joke in the eyes of the villains at the Hall of Doom. Seattle will dominate this game from start to finish. Look for the Panthers to turn the ball over 4 times as the Seahawks dominate every facet of this game! Seattle is a legitimate Super Bowl contender and Carolina is a professional football pretender. Not even the (self-proclaimed) Super Man Cam Newton will be able to stop the bleeding.


DALLAS -3 vs. NY Giants

You got it! I'm a cowboys fan! Never does the great Mysterio wager with his heart though. As an experienced gambler I know that nothing good ever comes from that so we look at the two teams on the field and roll with what we know and see. What we do know and see is the eventual NFC east champs the Dallas Cowboys winning this one easily as the NY Giants continue to get worse. Remember when the Giants had a good defensive line? I do too, but that is in the past and the Cowboys have the best receiver in the game in an amazing, albeit borderline "special" Dez Bryant. Look for my Boys to win this one by at least 7!



Remember Mysterios' motto......if you're not winning, you're not reading the Spread Zone!