Well, this is no 2013 that's for darn sure. Nonetheless, we never quit on a miss because our brains remember the last thing we do in an activity and if we stop picking when we're losing we're doomed to a life of failure.
Record to Date: 7-9 ATS
Top Confidence Picks: 2-1 ATS
INDIANA PACERS (-2) over Atlanta Hawks: Sorry Hawk fans. I know Game 1 gave you hope, but the second half of Game 2 gave you a glimpse of what the rest of this series will look like. You might get a cover in Game 4, but this game will be all about Lance Stephenson and Roy Hibbert who struggled in the Game 2 despite the blowout win. They'll get theirs tonight. Triple double for Lance, 20/10 for Roy. The Pacers finally got their wake up call.
MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES (+2) over Oklahoma City Thunder: This has the feel of a one-point game. Psychologically, the Grizzlies have a huge advantage here. Although the favorite is 4-1-1 in the last six meetings, the Thunder are 3-7-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings and 2-7 ATS in their last 9 road games. If they were a less experienced team that weren't prone to knocking off favorites, we'd roll with the thunder, but a home dog like Memphis in the playoff atmosphere only small market crowds produce - we like the points and we predict a buzzer beater.
GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS (+1.5) over Los Angeles Clippers: Nobody in their right mind will be backing the Warriors after they got destroyed in L.A. Monday Night, which is why we like the Warriors even more in this one. The Roaracle Crowd is a sixth man of its own, and although the Warriors haven't been as dominant at home this year, we like them to - at the very least - win the first of their two home games and put the pressure back on the Clips who will likely come into this game with their guard down just enough to dig themselves a hole. The home teams is 7-2 ATS in their last nine meetings and the Clips are 1-4 ATS in their last five at GSW. Take the points.
Top Confidence Pick: Although the Pacers have struggled historically in Atlanta going 4-12 ATS in their last 16, we like the way they came together after the Game 1 in-fighting and the Game 2 first half hole, and we believe the adversity is just what the doctor ordered. We lay the small chalk with the Pacers tonight.
Good luck and May the Spreads Be With You,
Vinny and Marco