Seriously, I do. Last night around three in the morning my eyes popped open thanks to a full bladder and wonky post-Warriors/Clippers stomach. Did I get up to pee? Hell no, that would be too much work. Did I lie awake for a half an hour regretting my underdog picks after ranting about favorites and posting supportive stats as to how they almost always win. You bet I did. Plus, in typical gambling fashion, I tried to amend for my recent losing streak by picking more angles which, if you're reading along, led to an 0-3 Over/Under Saturday. Fuckity fuck fuck. Sorry if there are any kids on the mailing list.
The once transparent lines of the NBA have become anxiety-provoking and completely passable. Time to regain our confidence by correctly picking the final two of FIVE (still unbelievable) first round Game 7's. After a 1-2 ATS Saturday, our ATS record (let's ignore the totals for now since posting them once is plenty) stands at paltry, sophomore slumping:
2014 NBA Playoff Record: 24-24 ATS
Top Confidence Picks: 7-6 ATS
TORONTO RAPTORS (-3) over Brooklyn Nets: Call it over-reaction. Call it stubborn. Call it Canadiophilia, but we just think it's too easy to take the experience-laden Nets just because some of them have been there before. If you think the NBA is fixed - like Marco does - then the Nets would be the choice for you because they owned the Miami Heat this year. With conspiracy theories in mind, the Raptors will have to jump out to a big lead (again) and hold on to it this time. We have no doubt the Nets will play tough defense but we believe the Canadian crowd and their cool three-D logos at both ends of the court will be enough to intimidate the Nets offense. Deron Williams has a bum leg, and Paul Pierce and KG only ever won anything with Ray Allen. Go Raptors.
"Take that conspiracy theorists."
Dallas Mavericks (+6.5) over SAN ANTONIO SPURS: Although the Spurs owned the Mavs during the regular season, they have been unable to put them away in 5 of the first 6 games in this series. While Dallas also has some aging veterans, they also have the young, fresh, speedy legs of Monte Ellis and the unbelievably amazing shooting of Dirk Nowitzki. This game has the makings of another Warriors/Clippers finish to an altogether thrilling first round. The Mavs are 6-0 ATS in the last 6 with S.A., 4-0 ATS in their last 4 trips to S.A., the underdog is 8-0 in the last 8 (probably all Dallas), and the road team is 9-4 ATS in the last 13 meetings. Plus, three players on the Spurs had babies this week, so home games are probably a disadvantage right now.
Top Confidence Pick: I think we'll roll with Dallas and the touchdown.
Super Duper Fun Parlay: Toronto (-3)/Under 188.5/Mavericks (+6.5)/Over 197.5
But we're not counting totals anymore since we kind of suck at that form of gambluessing (that's my new word for gambling/guessing).
Best of luck to you all and may the spreads be with you,
Vinny and Marco
Daily Reminders
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1. We love comments. If you have anything to say about our picks our posts our font choice, please light up the comments section even if it's just to say
2. We love coffee. If you've done well with our picks or you just appreciate what we or you just want to buy our silence, please use the Coffee for Vinny and Marco button on the right.
3. Don't forget to check out our friends at 1Vice. We get our lines from them and we highly recommend them for your online sports betting action. They have terrific customer service, great sign up bonuses and free play, and fast payouts. They running a special on the Kentucky Derby as we speak. They were also kind enough to send us an odds page, which we've included at the bottom of The Spread Zone.
Okay, enough about us - let's get to today's games. Stats Schmats, we're rolling with the dogs today, but we do like the UNDERS in a couple of the match-ups. Here's our Game 7 breakdowns for today.
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