Monday, May 26, 2014

Indiana Pacers Miami Heat Pick ATS - 5/26/14

NBA Playoff Record: 39-37-1 ATS

NHL Playoff Record: 2-0-1 

MLB Record: 0-1

It's amazing when we feel prophetic. A perfect 2-0 night, including a pass on the NHL total because we assumed the final score would be 3-2, has us feeling as Landon Donavon...the day before he was cut from the U.S. World Cup roster - like the universe is in order and nothing bad can happen to us ever. In defense of the U.S. soccer team, Landon Donavon might be the most boring, vanilla, interview I've ever seen for any sport in any country. If you're trying to hype a fringe, fifth shelf sport in our country, you'd better add scoring, fighting, or personality. Sorry L.D. - time to get a mohawk, some tats, and an underwear commercial. 

"Don't look at the score, look at me."

Speaking of the World Cup, our friends at 1Vice are running a $2000 tournament for sports fans/bettors to enjoy this sacred tournament just that much more. That's right - $2000 to the winner. All you have to do is sign up, deposit $250 - get your 150% free play bonus on top or that, plus your 30% rebate on the first of the next month - and you'll be assigned a username/password to fill out your brackets. We'll have more information and a direct link to the rules tomorrow. For now, I'll include a summary at the bottom of this post. Now let's get on to the Memorial Day capping. 


Indiana Pacers (+6) over MIAMI HEAT: It's too bad the NBA doesn't play 40 minutes like they do in college because the Pacers would be up 3-0 in this series. Well, not quite, but if Indiana can actually string together 4 decent quarters, they should get the ATS cover tonight. We actually believe they pull of the upset, regain home court advantage, and make a series out of this thing. No stats support us, including the fact that 53% of the public agrees - that's scary - and the fact that Miami is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games and the Pacers have only covered once in their last 5 trips to Miami. For totals bettors, the OVER looks like a healthy proposition because it has hit in 7 of the last 9 meetings between these teams in Miami and 6 of the last 7 Heat games after an ATS win. We'll take the points here.

Stat of the Night: Play Over – Road teams where the first half total is between 90.5 and 95.5 points double revenge – 2 straight losses vs. opponent, well rested team – playing 4 or less games in 10 days
42-17 over the last 5 seasons. ( 71.2% | 23.3 units )
3-2 this year. ( 60.0% | 0.8 units )


Chicago Blackhawks (+119) over LOS ANGELES KINGS: Hockey is a tough sport to gauge, and because we know very little about it, we're more comfortable rolling with the unpredictability. For example, the Kings have been playing outstanding hockey with their backs against the wall this post-season, which means they must first get their backs against the wall. A 2-1 series lead just won't do. Look for their guard to be let down just enough for the Blackhawks to regain home ice advantage. 


Chicago Cubs @ SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS - UNDER 7: Not a homer in this one, Bobby, but we do like the total to stay low with the anemic Cubs offense and our fantasy pitching stud Jeff Smardzija on the mound for Chicago.

Stat of the Night: MINNESOTA is 8-1 (+9.4 Units) against the money line after 3 straight games without a stolen base this season.
The average score was: MINNESOTA (4.7) , OPPONENT (3.3)

May the Spreads Be With You,

Vinny and Marco

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