Friday, October 3, 2014

NFL Picks Week 5: Niners vs Chiefs ATS - Friday Five

Last Week's Record: 3-2 ATS

Season to Date: 12-8 ATS

Top Confidence Picks: 3-1 ATS


1. Coffee Please: If you do well with our picks or would like to inspire us to make more picks in the future, please click on the Coffee for Vinny and Marco button to the right. 

2. 1Vice: If you love gambling, love bonus free play, love competitive lines, and love making us a nominal commission, then deposit with 1Vice today. They have some terrific promos including 40% cash bonus with no rollover plus 30% gambler's insurance for the rockier months. Good luck out there.

NFL Picks Week 5: Friday Five Top Confidence Picks

#5. CLEVELAND BROWNS (+2.5) over TENNESSEE TITANS: To Marco and me, these guys don't look like your dad's Charlie Browns anymore. In fact, as they've been building towards success (for the past three decades), they've quietly gone 3-1-1 coming out of their bye weeks the past few years. The Titans, on the other hand, have lost their last three games as home favorites and are still uncertain about the status of starting quarterback Jake Locker. Even with Locker, Tennessee has struggled to put points on the board (1.3/drive), so we'll take our chances and the points and Cleveland's QB Brian Hoyer's 5-1 ATS record as a starter. 

#4. SAN DIEGO CHARGERS (-6.5) over New York Jets: Philip Rivers has been nothing short of sensational this year, racking up 39 points last week for my fantasy team while carrying his reality team to a 3-1 SU/4-0 ATS start. Although the underdog has dominated the last six meetings going 5-1 ATS, recent history has the Jets going 2-4-2 ATS in their last eight road games, and 6-13-1 in last 20 games as underdogs of eight or fewer points. More importantly, recent history also has Geno Smith as their struggling quarterback. He has become the Geico of the NFL - he'll save you 15 points in 15 minutes or your money back. We'll give him six and a half and take the Chargers. And just for fun, I'm bringing back an old picture of my daughter interviewing him after a tough game.

#3. NEW YORK GIANTS (-4.5) over Atlanta Falcons: Who doesn't love Halloween? Free candy, cool costumes, the marked beginning of the holiday season? Eli Manning doesn't, that's who. In fact, if he could dress up as anyone - besides his brother Peyton - it would be Bill Murray in Ground Hog's Day so he could replay the month of October (a career 29-7) over and over and over. We never feel great picking the Giants, but at -4.5 this line looks way too Atlanta friendly for a team that has a terrible defense, a decimated O-line, and a 3-7 ATS record in their last 10 games. This one could get ugly.

#2. Cincinnati Bengals (-1) over NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS: Teams that win the running battle this season have covered games to the tune of 40-20-1 ATS. That's as money as Tom Brady used to be when he had protection, reliable receivers, the novelty of youth, and an AFC that rivaled basketball's Eastern Conference. Until this year, Marco and I never really thought the Bengals were legit, and every post-season they validated that belief. Not anymore. This Cincinnati team is not only going to run away with their division, they'll be accepting a first-round bye in the playoffs. Look for a stunning home loss as the Patriots fall below .500 in the AFC Least.

#1. Vinny and Marco (+Coffee) = 100% Guaranteed Top Confidence Pick: Too early to franchise? C'mon - it has been three years. We're just trying to stay awake here. We've always been a pretty reasonable outfit here at TSZ, so here are the deals: 

A) If you're on our mailing list we're sending you our number one pick anyway, and if you were on our mailing list at please shoot us an e-mail at so I can do the same for you. Seriously, I have the list, I just haven't transferred it back over to the blog, so just let me know and I'll e-mail you the pick.

See how honest we look?

For anyone else interested in our top pick, just buy us a cup of coffee - you decide how big - and send us the confirmation number to so we can add you to our list and send you our #1 picks for the rest of eternity. If we hit, great - welcome to TSZ and enjoy the picks for as long as we offer them. If we don't I'll hit the refund button Sunday night (minus Paypal's commission), and you'll get your coffee right back. How's that for karma?

May the Spreads Be With You all,

Vinny and Marco

No comments:

Post a Comment