April 30th, 2013 Stats: 22-11 ATS
April 30th, 2014 Stats: 21-15 ATS (including 1 total)
April 30th, 2013 Top Confidence Picks: 8-2 ATS
April 30th, 2014 Top Confidence Picks: 6-3 ATS
We're nothing if not consistent, and although we're not quite where we'd like to be (58%), we're becoming more familiar with the teams, the trends, and the stamina of the players left in the playoffs. The combination of confidence and familiarity serves not only the players and the teams earning their way into second round, but also us sports bettors trying to earn a few bucks while along the way. As the the young players find their bearings in the new, heightened intensity of the post-season, they grow up quickly and either exit early or realize they can compete. As cappers, we have to adjust and make our picks accordingly. Let's find out what I'm talking about.
TORONTO RAPTORS (-3.5) over Brooklyn Nets: When the Raptors lost Game 1, it appeared that inexperience might be the kiss of death in this series. Having won two of the last three, however, and evening the series heading into tonight's game, and suddenly the youthful glow of playing with house money (home court advantage house money that is) appears to be the blessing that could earn them a trip to Miami next week. Had Brooklyn won Game 2 in Toronto, this series might be over by now. As it is, however, the Raptors have the momentum and will probably win and cover Game 5 comfortably. Although the road team and underdog has gone 3-0-1 ATS through the first four games, the Nets are a paltry 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall. Is Father Time winning again?
SAN ANTONIO SPURS (-6.5) over Dallas Mavericks: Much like the Memphis/OKC series, it appears only a fool would give up the points when the average margin of victory between these teams - aside from Dallas's 21 point Game 2 blowout - has been approximately three points. We believe, however, that the San Antonio's ability to salvage the split in Dallas and regain home court advantage will spur (see what I did there) them on to a huge, double-digit home win tonight. Keep in mind that San Antonio had a 20 point lead in Game 4 before they almost imploded. They build a lead like that at home and it will only get bigger. Spurs win huge.
"I'm gonna say Spurs by eight."
Portland Trailblazers (+5.5) over HOUSTON ROCKETS: Why wouldn't we take the points? Underdog is 15-5-1 ATS in the last 21 between these teams and the road team is 5-0 ATS in as many games. Don't over think this one - take the points and watch another instant classic between these fun, offensive powerhouses.
Top Confidence Pick: We're going with the Rip City +5.5.
May the Spreads Be With Us All,
Vinny and Marco
No comments:
Post a Comment